Jarl Vetreiði
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
66th • 8-6-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Round 5: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 13: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rindo Masunaga (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 9: Win vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-7-0
78%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kaan Moğulkoç (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs 直人 酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-1
38%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benedictus See (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 圭資 山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Willy Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 福永 純 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chen Ze-Wei (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
Round 6: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlotte Odievre (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hojin Choi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Loss vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kainuma Daisuke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
Round 5: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.