Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
46 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 13-2-0
87%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
87% (13/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (8.7 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
9th • 11-3-0
79%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jie Rui C (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 14: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
27th • 10-4-0
71%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
Round 14: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
42nd • 9-5-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Caliman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elton Siang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
86% (12/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Round 8: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 11: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 13: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mizuki Tamura (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 恭平 竹下 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
Round 9: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 司忠 甲地 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-1
78%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Winter Fong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travis Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Trinh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
Round 6: Win vs Deborah Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-1
78%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ユウキ テラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Clong H (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-1
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frederick Governale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs 楠畑 大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wai Lum Choong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rindo Masunaga (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Courtney MacIsaac (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 直人 三田 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julius Eulo Baltonado II (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Deborah Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 6: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 8: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
12%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Morelli (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josh Lind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 5: Loss vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johann Louie Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Johnson (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rindo Masunaga (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Yamamoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 6: Loss vs 楠畑 大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Firoz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 優輝 相澤 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Rua (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs yenwei Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Willem Van Den Broek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip Lam Le (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Uson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs 結友 太田 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Draw |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jian Botor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Tomoyuki Yagura (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Deborah Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.