Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Calling: Yokohama 2026

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Shine Wong cm

dropped • 0-4-1

60%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Alissa Ellingson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tomoyuki Yagura

dropped • 1-2-1

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs 楠畑大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Frederick Governale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.00
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paul Johnson

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Trevor Valentine

dropped • 0-3-1

25%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs yenwei Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benedictus See (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

SATOSHI NAKATA

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.