Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Yokohama 2026

Arakni, Marionette

93 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nova Chan

1st • 14-3-0

88%

Meta

+4.9

Perf

8.3

Surp

6.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R17 CC

Round 17: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

88% (15/17 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.9 Wins (9.1 expected, 14 actual)

Surprise

8.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.06
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.19
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.38
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.41
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.56
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R11	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.28
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.81
R14	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.15
R16	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.50
R17	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.48

Anthony Pham

5th • 11-4-0

87%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

7.5

Surp

5.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robby Ramasaputra (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

87% (13/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.05
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.28
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.50
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.57
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.78
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.85
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Wiroon Juesathainrat

12th • 11-2-1

79%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

7.0

Surp

5.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.04
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.47
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.65
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.55
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Noah Beygelman

14th • 11-3-0

93%

Meta

+3.5

Perf

6.2

Surp

5.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.06
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.23
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.66
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.50

Luiz Bretas

37th • 10-3-1

79%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

7.1

Surp

5.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daisuke Koseki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Hodges (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.09
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.66
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.68
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.18
R13	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.70
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lucas Oswald

19th • 10-4-0

64%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

7.2

Surp

5.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

64% (9/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.17
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.18
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.98
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.84
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Jacob Clements

34th • 10-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.4

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 征隆内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (14/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.65
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.49
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Jakub Koenner

40th • 10-4-0

86%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.7

Surp

5.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 三輪佑樹 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.04
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.61
R12	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.99
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.94
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

KeDuo Yang

dropped • 6-5-0

73%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs SATOSHI NAKATA (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 69:31

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.05
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.08
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.31
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.29
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.30
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Brenna Tan

dropped • 6-2-1

67%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs 藤田隼輔 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 英明大山 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hugo Bry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clong H (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.90
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Alfred Lauw

dropped • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.24
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.02
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Hazama Levi

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 智行内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jason Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.11
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.22
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.30
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 祐也副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Dinnesh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.30
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.83
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ryouichi Sakazaki

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryuya Fukuda (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robert Wise (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.11
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.47
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.62
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77

Tom Bradford

dropped • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Keith Ang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.12
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.42
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Andrew Blackwell

dropped • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lo Shih-Chieh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.05
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.26
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jason Chua

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 智行内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ken Sawada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mathias W (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.34
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.52
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jin Han Toh

dropped • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ユウキテラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maya Yagura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Klein Tian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 広朗大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.47
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.07
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Maximilian Reichl

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 司忠甲地 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.64
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.07
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

WAI KIT LO

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 広朗大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.90
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.95
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

カイブラック

dropped • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs humiaki hattori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.26
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.28
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.60
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.42
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jun Jie Chan

dropped • 4-4-1

89%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.59
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Draw	✓	0.71	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tabitha Boon

dropped • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 暁柴野 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ryuya Fukuda (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.27
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ilya Polkovnichenko

dropped • 3-6-0

67%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stephen Miller (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.22
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.23
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Hotaka Nishijima

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.93
R8	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Jason Watkins

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tom Hartley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.65
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.72
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Matthew W

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 左承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.04
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Riley Lont

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 高柳賢一 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.50

Sam Coons

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lukas Horber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.93
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Yoong Kean Leong

dropped • 4-3-1

88%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Darren Goh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.48
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Daniel Hammer

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daimon Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.18
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.37
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Darren Goh

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Louis Chi (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yoong Kean Leong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs PH Chung (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Derek Chiu

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 結友太田 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 英鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 直人酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77

Kai Liang Fong

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Anthony Hlaing

dropped • 2-6-0

88%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

4.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mike Morelli (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josh Lind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ryota Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.04
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Alexis Planchenault

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jian Botor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.37
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Chen Ze-Wei

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs タカヤスギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Chuan Yang Loy

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lukas Horber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.34
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

DYLAN MANGINI

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ユウキテラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.14
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.21
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Daniel Collett

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Amelia Lee (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.35
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

HIROKI ASAUMI

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs erwin leung (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.56
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ken Sawada

dropped • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Yuma Ishikura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.28
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Draw	✓	0.71	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cody Broten

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 優大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.37
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Nick McGrath

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.37
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.18
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Pauli Viimaranta

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daimon Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julius Eulo Baltonado II

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Kazushi Nimiya

dropped • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-3.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sinho Seol (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.14
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Albert Schütt

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.34
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Arjun Garg

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Bernardo José Alves

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.40
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Ethan Lee

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brett Curtain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sarah Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 結友太田 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Francesco Giorgio

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.84
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Nathan Burns

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daryl Choo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.36
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Viktor Nelipovich

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Clong H (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.33
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Xu Zhenzhe

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

kei iikubo

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs YE MINSHENG (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ryotaro takashima

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.14
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

タカユキアサヒナ

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yu Hang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.97
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Masato Umeki

dropped • 2-3-1

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Winter Fong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Xingyu ZHOU (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Darren Goh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yukitaka Inohara

dropped • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.65
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Aaron Lim

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 征隆内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jared Blazich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

YE MINSHENG

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Franche Tan

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs 暁柴野 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 良亮河野 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.26
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.40
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Brodey Plecas

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shine Wong cm (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Daisuke Nakashima

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.38
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Drei Cortez

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael McDowell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antunes Rocha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs humiaki hattori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.52
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.30
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jacob Gladman

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robert Wise (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shine Wong cm (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs treeming Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.85
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Lucas Tenorio

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Courtney MacIsaac (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.60
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip van Donselaar

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.62
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

RYUSEI YAMAKAWA

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yutaka Aiko (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.93
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Thiago Almeida Cunha

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Willy Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub Tepper

dropped • 1-3-1

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Michael McDowell

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 暁柴野 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.70
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Samed Demir

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.09
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Shuto Ushiro

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matilda Soon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Jie Rui C

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 那須和太郎 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Alexej Vollmer

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Hugo Bry

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julien Lau

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 雄也大川 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.39
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Raj Parikh

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs デルス山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pascal Flügel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ryan Ward

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cody Dennhardt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Klein Tian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Ryu San jose

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Atkins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Shinmura Kazuya

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 優輝相澤 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

デルス山崎

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

優大村

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Casey Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Frederik Kostka

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Hiroyuki Yamamoto

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Johann Louie Ong

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

인구 김

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Sam Andersen

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

剛西舘

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.