Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Calling: Yokohama 2026

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

41 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yoshiaki Okamoto

32nd • 10-4-0

79%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

7.0

Surp

5.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Deborah Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Winter Fong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs デルス山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.19
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.28
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.98
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.14
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

征隆内山

dropped • 7-4-0

82%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.28
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.18
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.54
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.41
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.44
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Andrea Mengucci

dropped • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 優大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Justin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daryl Choo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.59
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.52
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.87
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Ko Sato

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Winter Fong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.89
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.87
R9	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Wen Yu Thye

dropped • 5-3-1

56%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Phillips (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.30
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.89
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Kieran Ng

dropped • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.23
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Sho Nakahara

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 楠畑大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs ayumi kobayashi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.42
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.48
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

Kinga Piper Balázs

dropped • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pedro Caliman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.93
R9	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Doriann LASSARA

dropped • 2-7-0

56%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 小谷康斗 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.24
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Bernhard Hinna

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Miller (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.19
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

David Tham

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs TOMOHIRO TAGUCHI (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jakob Justin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Keith Ang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.48
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Mathew Fletcher

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Hodges (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.02
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.57

Alex Mihilli

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 征隆内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.34
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Ania Grudnowska

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.34
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Christian Drabusenigg

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs rei ohtani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ryuya Fukuda (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.50
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Colin Li

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.21
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Deborah Chua

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antunes Rocha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.20
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Roman Pinegin

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 隆誠細井 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.21
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Steven Chen

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ko Sato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.41
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

suguru ishimaru

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Philip Lam Le (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.83
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Ross Newson

dropped • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 優大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.41
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.89
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Christopher Higashi

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 86:14

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.03
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.47
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

秀太栗原

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shoya Yamashita (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.14
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Courtney MacIsaac

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 暁柴野 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jack Tong

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julius Eulo Baltonado II (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Yufu Huang

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Duy Khoi Hoang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Yohei Kurihara

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yufu Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jyunnosuke Yano

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kazuya Murakami

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Richie Britton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yu Hang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.86
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Leila Catton

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Johann Louie Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.55
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Mikko Pena

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 司忠甲地 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.70
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Pei-Tung Liao

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sinho Seol (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.70
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Kazuna Otsuka

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

三輪佑樹

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Jean Paul Negron

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.11
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.63
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

祐也副島

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keith Ang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.80
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Casey Tan

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Damon Elgie

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

佐藤宗良

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs PH Chung (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Lauren Zacharakis

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.33

Naoki Endo

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.