Pleiades, Superstar
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
67th • 7-6-1
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
7.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Janina Maricle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
29% (4/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Draw |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 左 承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaan Moğulkoç (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pedro Caliman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 楠畑 大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.