Calling: Yokohama 2026 - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

80 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrew Wilborn

13th • 11-3-0

79%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

6.8

Surp

5.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Klein Tian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.26
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.78
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.01
R14	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

francisco guerrero

15th • 11-3-0

86%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

6.9

Surp

5.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.03
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.85
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brayden Pritchard

16th • 11-3-0

79%

Meta

+3.9

Perf

7.0

Surp

5.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Atkins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jie Rui C (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R7	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.67
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.59
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.72
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R13	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Sammy Weckx

21st • 10-4-0

86%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.6

Surp

4.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 征隆内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.42
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Patrick Steele

22nd • 10-4-0

57%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

7.0

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (8/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.19
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.15
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.43
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.84
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.93
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.64
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Illuvial Arnett

31st • 10-4-0

86%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

7.1

Surp

4.6

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 隆誠細井 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.35
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Daniel Dreisziger

33rd • 10-4-0

64%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

64% (9/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.08
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.10
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.34
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.35
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R12	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Hiroyuki Tansei

39th • 10-4-0

86%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Yamamoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.32
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.30
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R13	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.01
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

雅仁富山

43rd • 9-5-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

6.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ayumi kobayashi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (14/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.05
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.18
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

歩櫻井

46th • 9-5-0

93%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

6.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael McDowell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs 征隆内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.03
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.18
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.93
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Natanael Avellino

53rd • 9-5-0

79%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

7.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 理央鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R11	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.94
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.85
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Masaki Hamada

60th • 8-6-0

79%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

7.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Jie Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

7.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.35
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.57
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.77
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kaiser Wong

dropped • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Brandon Canedy

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.82
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Daniel Toh

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.15
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R8	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Kevin Constantineau

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.76
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.07
R9	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.34

Martin Holík

dropped • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.08
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.54
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.76
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.30

Nicholas Tran

dropped • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Paul Lansang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 司忠甲地 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.04
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.54
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.27
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.16
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Zachary Adams

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 楠畑大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.24
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.88
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Johannes Klaus

dropped • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.26
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.76
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Kelvin Tan

dropped • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 藤田隼輔 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yufu Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ko Sato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.58
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.92
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Robert Szura

dropped • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Blake Rhodes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Hartley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs ユウキテラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.30
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.47
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.75
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.37
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Robin Avenoso

dropped • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs カイブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.05
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Ryan Youngquist

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Lo (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.04
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.30
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.66
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.30

Ryuya Fukuda

dropped • 3-6-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 勝利森 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Pedro Caliman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

shoji shoji

dropped • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Johnson (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takatoshi Sato (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Winter Fong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.30
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.62
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.14
R8	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Henry Leasure

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 三輪佑樹 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 祐也副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Darren Goh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.74
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Justin Fryar

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mizuki Tamura (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elton Siang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.04
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.30
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.89
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.80
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Lucas Izumi

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 인구 김 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matheo Franchot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.80
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Michael Postle

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brett Curtain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs デルス山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.99
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Kanata Ishimaru

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryo Shigeta (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.36
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Keith Ang

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 祐也副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.08
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Kyrios Mak

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

MASAYA IWASAKI

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.06
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Steven Leyva

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.06
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Piotr Siewko

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 直人酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs ayumi kobayashi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.69
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

KENT Lin

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs タカヤスギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Kelvin Ng

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shine Wong cm (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.68
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.85
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.42
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Majin Bae

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Dale Low

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.20
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.45
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Dusk Low

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs タカユキアサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 征隆内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Remi Grasset

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Tomohiko Shimanouchi

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Duy Khoi Hoang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

kouji hamada

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sarah Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs ユウキテラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.28
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.30
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Tomoaki Yoshimura

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ed Cardall (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mizuki Tamura (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 80:20

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 恭平竹下 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.23
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

IAN MESQUITA

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Duy Khoi Hoang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ken Kuwahara

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Janina Maricle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jason Lo (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daimon Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.22
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.56
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Matheo Franchot

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Chung Si Chia

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Clement Cheng

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Courtney MacIsaac (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yufu Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.79
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Jacob Hyde

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Nino Chimenti

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Horber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.28
R5	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.28
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Blaž Hrastnik

dropped • 0-6-0

83%

Meta

-3.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shoya Yamashita (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alissa Ellingson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryota Miyamoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Blake Godenzi

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.07
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

ChingHeng Lin

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julien Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

David Brannen

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matheo Franchot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jakob Justin

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Quentin Potin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.68
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Joshua Neitzel

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matilda Soon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julius Eulo Baltonado II (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.55
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Tom Malek

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Miller (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.27
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.63
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

suk kyo suh

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.23
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Georgia Sumner

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.08
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Willy Chan

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kainuma Daisuke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.72
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Carlo Luis Santos

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Charlie Teo

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cody Dennhardt

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shoya Yamashita (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jian Botor

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Mercy Bickell

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Uson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs YE MINSHENG (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Porter Boroski

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoong Kean Leong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Taylor Reichel

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benedictus See (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.33
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Tim Dasiukevich

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 直人三田 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Tyler Zeringue

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 雄也大川 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Victor Bousch

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

toshiaki tamura

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Bry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SATOSHI NAKATA (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Baugh

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

André Ferreira

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 理央鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Eric Gaudreault

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 祐也副島 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ed Cardall

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ian Fraser

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

雄斗宮地

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.