Katsu, the Wanderer
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 8-6-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darnell Dickerson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
Round 9: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Win vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Cave (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 那須 和太郎 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs arnaud rey (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 9: Win vs 楠畑 大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Rhodes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Firoz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nelson Stephen Ventura (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Fraser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wookyung Park (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.