Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Yokohama 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 8-6-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darnell Dickerson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Round 9: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Round 12: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Cave (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Round 3: Win vs 那須 和太郎 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs arnaud rey (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Win vs 楠畑 大地 (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Inno Nueva Wong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Rhodes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Firoz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nelson Stephen Ventura (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Fraser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wookyung Park (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.