Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 10-4-0
7%
Meta
+4.4
Perf
7.3
Surp
7.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mathias W (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
7% (1/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
7.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
47th • 9-5-0
29%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Shoya Yamashita (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
5:95
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 7:93
Round 9: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 91:9
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
29% (4/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 5% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 那須 和太郎 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wai Lum Choong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kainuma Daisuke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Phillips (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wai Lum Choong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Uson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Lo Shih-Chieh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elton Siang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Didde-Esteban (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs taisuke yoshino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs デルス 山崎 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Hathaway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clong H (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Lo (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 隼平 飯野 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brett Curtain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.