Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Yokohama 2026

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 8-5-0

46%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Dorinthea Ironsong

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

Valda, Seismic Impact

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

46% (6/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.09
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.22
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.44
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.62
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.43
R11	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Clément LOUBIERE

dropped • 6-5-1

42%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Clong H (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Pleiades, Superstar

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Draw vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.40
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.52
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.0

Surp

4.2

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs PH Chung (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.20
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Win	✗	0.75	2.00

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Naoki Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

Puffin, Hightail

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 30:70

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kaan Moğulkoç (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.28
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.24
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

dropped • 1-5-1

71%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 恭平竹下 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 直人三田 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Kaan Moğulkoç

dropped • 2-3-1

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

Dash I/O

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ショウヘイホソカワ (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Alfian Poon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Dash I/O

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Pleiades, Superstar

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.71
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

Dash I/O

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Prism, Awakener of Sol

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.81
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

dropped • 1-3-0

0%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ko Sato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Henry Van Den Broek

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Katsu, the Wanderer

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 直人酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.