Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-5-0
23%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
85:15
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 86:14
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-1
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Clong H (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Draw |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs PH Chung (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Naoki Endo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kaan Moğulkoç (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-1
71%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 恭平 竹下 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 直人 三田 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ショウヘイ ホソカワ (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Alfian Poon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Atsunori Kanamaru (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ko Sato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cho Chiu Sit (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 20:80
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 直人 酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.