Arakni, Huntsman
28 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
38th • 10-3-1
43%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
7.3
Surp
6.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs 坂上 俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 14: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (6/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
30th • 10-4-0
57%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
55th • 9-5-0
64%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ユウキ テラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
dropped • 6-2-1
78%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs arnaud rey (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Casey Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maya Yagura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tony Kwok (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-2
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Wai Lum Choong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Daisuke Koseki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
Round 6: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Draw |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-2
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Tomoyuki Yagura (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 政大 板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38
Round 9: Loss vs 直人 酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 3-6-0
56%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Win vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
Round 2: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 政大 板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 直人 酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs KENT Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chen Ze-Wei (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sinho Seol (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ged Felipe Santos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Courtney MacIsaac (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ko Sato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 勝利 森 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Mizuki Tamura (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kainuma Daisuke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amelia Lee (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Hathaway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jo Yana (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rindo Masunaga (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Hartley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Yoong Kean Leong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Atkins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julius Eulo Baltonado II (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs chikayuki akashi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Paul Lansang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Ryo Shigeta (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs arnaud rey (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yutaka Aiko (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takatoshi Sato (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-1
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.