Kassai of the Golden Sand
27 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-4-0
53%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Round 15: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
53% (8/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 歩 櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Frederik Kostka (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 隼平 飯野 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
Round 5: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Win vs Yoong Kean Leong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-1
11%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Round 6: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 78:22
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
Round 5: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-2
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Johnson (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jun Jie Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Ken Sawada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Loss vs Mathias W (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richie Britton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anatolii Konovalov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richie Britton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs 左 承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Luis Santos (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Deborah Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daisuke Koseki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jie Rui C (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 恭平 竹下 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Draw |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.