Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-4-0
40%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (4/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frederick Governale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lukas Horber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Duy Khoi Hoang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs PH Chung (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Hathaway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Darren Goh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Lo (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Julien Lau (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 葉 建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Victor Bousch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 葉 建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.