Valda, Seismic Impact
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 13-3-0
62%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
7.0
Surp
6.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs chikayuki akashi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
95:5
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 歩 櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
Round 12: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
90:10
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
Round 14: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (10/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (8.3 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R16 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
44th • 9-5-0
71%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
7.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 坂上 俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 14: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
52nd • 9-5-0
93%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Round 14: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
93% (13/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
54th • 9-5-0
93%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kouji hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 11: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
93% (13/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
73%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yufu Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Win vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yutaka Aiko (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Didde-Esteban (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.