Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Yokohama 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 13-3-0
62%
Meta
+5.5
Perf
7.5
Surp
7.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs chikayuki akashi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 歩 櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Round 12: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
85:15
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 86:14
Round 14: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
62% (10/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.5 total deviation
Difficulty
7.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R16 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
44th • 9-5-0
71%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
7.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 坂上 俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Round 14: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
52nd • 9-5-0
93%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Round 14: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
93% (13/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
54th • 9-5-0
93%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kouji hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 86:14
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 11: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
93% (13/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yufu Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Win vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs カイ ブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yutaka Aiko (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Didde-Esteban (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Teo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.