Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Yokohama 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
Round 7: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yoong Kean Leong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
Round 7: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Duy Khoi Hoang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Byungmo Koo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Kentaro Hase (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-6-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 直人 酒井 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Weldon Higo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-1
62%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 英明 大山 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pedro Caliman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 10:90
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nelson Stephen Ventura (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 10:90
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hojin Choi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 10:90
Round 8: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jun Jie Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
Round 2: Win vs Philip Lam Le (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ユウキ テラダ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elton Siang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Alfian Poon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs arnaud rey (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YE MINSHENG (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs zion moore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.