Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Yokohama 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julius Eulo Baltonado II (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 隆誠 細井 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 10: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ayumi kobayashi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Win vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Esmond Heng (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael McDowell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 優吾 中村 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.