Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Yokohama 2026

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 8-5-0

54%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julius Eulo Baltonado II (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 隆誠細井 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Dash I/O

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Arakni, Huntsman

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Kassai of the Golden Sand

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

Dash I/O

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.15
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.08
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.89
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.24
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.48
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

dropped • 5-4-0

33%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

5.2

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 佐藤宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ayumi kobayashi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Kassai of the Golden Sand

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.71
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.30
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.00
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Win	✗	0.79	2.02
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Dash I/O

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R5	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Taufik Indrakesuma

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Pleiades, Superstar

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

100:0

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Esmond Heng (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.08
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Henrique Pereira

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Dash I/O

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.64
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bryan Inno Nueva Wong

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael McDowell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.19
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.40
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Pleiades, Superstar

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.25
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.94
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

taisuke yoshino

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charlotte Odievre (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs shoji shoji (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.07
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Arakni, Huntsman

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.47
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Alice Greer-Stokes

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.09
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 優吾中村 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Huntsman

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

dropped • 0-3-0

0%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.