Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Battle Hardened: Hartford
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Keating (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
10th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Biros (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs David Dredge (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Taylor (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Michael Walker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Carbungco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zach Allen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
24th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Legg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Lennon Philo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 90:10
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 90% | Win |
27th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Roth (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
38th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ryan moran (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elise Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
51st • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Fitzpatrick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dustin Soares (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Win vs Jack Fay (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Shane Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
53rd • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Crispell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Amelia Russell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Buganski (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Carbungco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Kaliszak (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
56th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abe Geidel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Marchetti (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Goodkin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Colon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Walker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Fay (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sullivan Koekkoek (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Biggs (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Keating (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Biros (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Seth Clark (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 90:10
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Paquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Roth (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Gargiule (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Romer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justine DeLuise (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-1
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justine DeLuise (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philippe Paquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.