Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Hartford
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 6-2-0
25%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amelia Russell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
42nd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Carbungco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Morris (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Markham (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Cohen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zach Allen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Grant (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Cody St Lawrence (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs James Kandziolka (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hunter Finkbeiner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Roth (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Addison Hudson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Havens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Cook (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darryl Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Legg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs James Kandziolka (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander McPherson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ricky Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Crispell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Teodorczy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.