Uzuri, Switchblade at Battle Hardened: Hartford

Uzuri, Switchblade

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Thomas Battaglia

50th • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Fay (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Darryl Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 20:80

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.10
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.94
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Marc Mehlenbacher

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 20:80

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.51
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.39
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Dustin Soares

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Amelia Russell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Ben Cook

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Goodkin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Dziewit (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

David Dredge

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Stassi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Havens

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Goodkin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.