Bravo, Showstopper
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ariel Chapman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Elise Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 9: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
5th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody St Lawrence (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
12th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Schoof (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Justin Evans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
57th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Finkbeiner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Kate Kish (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Fay (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brian Kaliszak (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Beaumont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robert Teodorczy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Graden Hutchinson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Levy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Everett Rizner (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Buganski (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Allen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colby Homan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Mink (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Albano (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Havens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Austin Gargiule (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Nelson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Kaliszak (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Everett Rizner (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Cohen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seth Clark (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.