Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Hartford
Kassai of the Golden Sand
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Philippe Côté (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michel Beaumont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Colby Homan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
Round 9: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
28th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Markham (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Fay (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
54th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Cohen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Levy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander McPherson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Miller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Philippe Côté (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan McCarthy (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Bowman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Cohen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Roth (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Buganski (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bobby Bourque (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dustin Soares (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Glassbrook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Madrigal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philippe Paquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.