Dromai, Ash Artist
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs James Kandziolka (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Fay (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
19th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 8: Win vs Justin Carbungco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
20th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Mink (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs The Better Johnson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Darryl Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
22nd • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs The Better Johnson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Robert Nelson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
23rd • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kirklan Doherty (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shawn Hill (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Keating (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Colby Homan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
37th • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Darryl Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Addison Hudson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
26th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
32nd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Wyce (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elise Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zach Allen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
33rd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Madrigal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Biros (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
35th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Teodorczy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
40th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs William Berger (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Addison Hudson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Powell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lennon Philo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
46th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Addison Hudson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trenton McBride (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Colon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Chapman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
Round 5: Win vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Legg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Mangel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Zach Allen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pearlman (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Fay (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Mink (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abe Geidel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Cook (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lennon Philo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Kate Kish (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.