Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened: Hartford
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan McCarthy (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Biros (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Pearlman (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeffrey White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Womack (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Nelson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Carbungco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zach Allen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Biros (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Chapman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Nelson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Robert Teodorczy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Romer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.