Kano, Dracai of Aether
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 9-2-0
100%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nghia Tran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
21st • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sullivan Koekkoek (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Cohen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricky Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
100:0
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Stassi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.