Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
29th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Fitzpatrick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Grant (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
58th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Beaumont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ariel Chapman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brent Brown (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frederick Governale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Mangel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander McPherson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hunter Finkbeiner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Kaliszak (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pheano Black (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Keating (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.