Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Dziewit (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Graden Hutchinson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Bea Budnik (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.