Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Battle Hardened: Hartford
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Dziewit (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Graden Hutchinson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Bea Budnik (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.