Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Harper (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Mink (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Cohen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ricky Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.