Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Calling: Hong Kong
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Zijin Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs YAT TUNG (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gordon Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
15th • 7-4-0
73%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Man Kit (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
20th • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kugane Gaming (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs HSUEH Eric (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs erwin leung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 10: Win vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
28th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Heijo Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gordon Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
44th • 4-6-1
73%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elton Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 廖 皓然 (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Wan Tenjin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs See Atlantis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chung Ho Kong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lok Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Man Kit (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs MICKEY LOI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Redc Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Zijin Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sze Long Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Cho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MICKEY LOI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Terry Yuen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Xiyu Cai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Wilson Cheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Haodong Sun (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chun sir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Chi san Tse (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lok Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacky Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jiarui Zhang (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wilson Cheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Budi Surya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard LYU (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs MICKEY LOI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chong Chi fu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Wu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs leung hon chung (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chih Wei Huang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.