Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HSUEH Eric (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Lau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.