Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Hong Kong
Kassai of the Golden Sand
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-0-0
73%
Meta
+5.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
6.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs leung hon chung (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
5th • 9-1-1
73%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
5.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kwai Leung Wan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hoklong wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Cho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
14th • 7-3-1
82%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Cho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Win vs Gordon Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
16th • 7-3-1
82%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Yip (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jackie wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
27th • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs See Atlantis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
46th • 4-5-2
64%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
5.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (5.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Draw |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 3-2-2
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jiabin Chen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chun sir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jiarui Zhang (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs erwin leung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henry Lau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sze Long Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cold Cold Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Haodong Sun (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Redc Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Kwai Leung Wan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Terry Yuen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wong Hennessy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xiyu Cai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Chu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.