Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Hong Kong
Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 6-5-0
91%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haodong Sun (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs MICKEY LOI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henry Fan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (6.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.