Dorinthea Ironsong
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 5-6-0
55%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs See Atlantis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chun sir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Wan Tenjin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 10: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
45th • 4-5-2
45%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs erwin leung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Wan Tenjin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Draw |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard LYU (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Man Kit (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Heijo Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Li Bo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chung Ho Kong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sze Long Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.