Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Hong Kong
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lok Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Win vs Elvis Ho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.