Calling: Hong Kong - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lok Chan

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Chu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Cold Cold Lee

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 29:71

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs York kwok (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.27
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.88
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

leung hon chung

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 29:71

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wilson Cheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Tsoi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jiarui Zhang (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.