Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Hong Kong
Arakni, Marionette
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chong Chi fu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wan Tenjin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
18th • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henry Lau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kwai Leung Wan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jian Botor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
19th • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
31st • 6-4-1
55%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Elvis Ho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
36th • 6-4-1
73%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Zijin Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Man Kit (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jiarui Zhang (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Michael Wu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xiyu Cai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Round 5: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chi san Tse (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 廖 皓然 (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs York kwok (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacky Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs leung hon chung (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 92:8
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chong Chi fu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs yu hong wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs ka chun chan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Kugane Gaming (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Heijo Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.