Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 8-2-1
91%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chi san Tse (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 8: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lk Sing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Draw |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
38th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wan Tenjin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chun sir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Cho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 廖 皓然 (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Fan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jiarui Zhang (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.