Ira, Scarlet Revenger
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 6-5-0
36%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bentley Tse (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Heijo Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 廖 皓然 (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chun sir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Chu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gary Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jackie wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Win vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lok Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Terry Yuen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sze Long Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jian Botor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ricky leung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kinson Lee (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Li Bo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ricky leung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 7: Win vs yu hong wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.