Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Calling: Hong Kong
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
43rd • 5-6-0
82%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Man Kit (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs treeming Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (5.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs William Budi Surya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.