Calling: Hong Kong - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wong Hennessy

dropped • 3-4-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kugane Gaming (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bentley Tse (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

0% (0/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.72
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.94
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Henry Lau

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Lam (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Elton Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs See Atlantis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 86:14

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bentley Tse (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.60
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.15
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Lewis Chan

dropped • 1-5-0

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ka chun chan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elton Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chih Wei Huang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.80
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.