Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Hong Kong
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Fan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Chi san Tse (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.