Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Calling: Hong Kong
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pang Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacky Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Yip (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jian Botor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.