Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
95 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-2-0
92%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.0
Surp
6.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matt Rogers (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Round 15: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R18 CC
Round 18: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R16 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R17 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R18 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
2nd • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
7.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michaël Emery (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R18 CC
Round 18: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R17 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R18 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
40th • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Gates (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adam Urban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Milner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
49th • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
100:0
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Caroline Flamia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
19th • 7-1-1
56%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
10th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.0
Surp
7.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
7.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
17th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oli Cornish (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Molho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
32nd • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Pereira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Becker (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
44th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Matt Rogers (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
66th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
33rd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dagan White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
34th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
59th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sophia Claire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Renz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
84th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Richards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nova Chan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs shoma yamamura (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
124th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 14: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
131st • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
56th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
100:0
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
86th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Round 13: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Harle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
93rd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
96th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
144th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 13: Loss vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
69th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
74th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip martinez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Round 12: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
110th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Billy Horn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Alex Becker (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
139th • 3-6-0
56%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CODY READY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Isaac Murray (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 14: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan Eid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Richards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Brookes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tariq Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Braben (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wadley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-0-0
60%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Hills (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justine DeLuise (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Kinison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs NANAMI OCHI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Omar Soubra (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Raven (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Melissakis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Adams (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matheus Pereira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Pistel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Domonkos Kiss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Renz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raymond Mauge (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Bodee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theo Maggs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Bailey (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cayne Wilbur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phil Hensley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Law Wen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Linus Albat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Paixão Viana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nico Grieco (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs shoma yamamura (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lloyd McBride (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Simon Duruy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Eid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
100:0
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Collins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antonin Poubeau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Lu-Trinh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob West (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Goetz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laura Wichert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard McMahon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pistel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lloyd McBride (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zoe Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Nakata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs simon diaz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Goetz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cass Emerson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Lu-Trinh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs simon diaz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edison Yue (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Omar Soubra (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs William Pearlman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michaël Emery (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Duruy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julia De Biasi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fred God (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Steele (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Rodger (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andy Pham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-2
60%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Draw |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nico Grieco (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Collins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Philip Connolley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Urban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Choi Tae seong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James LeResche (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Paixão Viana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Duruy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Allan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Menion Croll (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Markus Jonsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karan Gill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Law Wen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Horne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Adams (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Webb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julia De Biasi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Brookes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Lu-Trinh (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-2
40%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Julia De Biasi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Draw |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Connolley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs JORDAN BEANGE (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Breno Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Adams (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Felipe Rita (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.