Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Pro Tour: London

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ian Fraser

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Siméon Gruel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.94
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Adams

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James LeResche (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Metodi Nikolaev (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.94
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Zoe Morgan

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.