Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Pro Tour: London
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
41 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
6.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edward Knight (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
52nd • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andy Pham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stephan Schwarz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
61st • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
8.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 15: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
8.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
134th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Levy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Justin Kinison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
30th • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs CODY READY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
87th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Adam Urban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
114th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ryan Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
122nd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Lau (Unknown)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Win vs George Melissakis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
97th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Allan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jack Raven (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs John Milner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Devon Porcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
98th • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 15: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Win |
146th • 3-6-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Denny Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Justin Kinison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 74:26
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Webb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Milner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michaël Emery (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Pistel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stew Fraser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Wadley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Goetz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zoe Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
20%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Cass Emerson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Juliano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sophia Claire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Erika Forslöf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Brown (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 16:84
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leonardo Paixão Viana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laura Wichert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Law Wen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cynthia Boutot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Will Rea (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Roman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Dale Sayson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.