Nuu, Alluring Desire
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
4.8
Surp
8.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Krentz (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 13: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Charles Dunn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
8.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
60th • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
6.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Markovič (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Caroline Flamia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 14: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
13th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.9
Surp
8.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 4: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Connor McGrath (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 13: Win vs CODY READY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
8.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
18th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
128th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Braben (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Herndon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Coppley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 15: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
31st • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
82nd • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Jack Mountford (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
Round 13: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
91st • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justine DeLuise (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michaël Emery (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jack Raven (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Connor McGrath (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
137th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Duruy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dagan White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
138th • 4-5-0
89%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Eid (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor McGrath (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CODY READY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Harle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ville Schalin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 12: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 14: Loss vs Caroline Flamia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
109th • 3-6-0
78%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew W (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs kuba tambor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
Round 15: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob Catton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Colon (Unknown)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Webb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Reed (Unknown)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gary Gold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Horne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-2
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Mirko Macchia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Richards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Phil Hensley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Billy Horn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fred God (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bloodworth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Becker (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kim Barroso (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cynthia Boutot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Somers (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Bloodworth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edison Yue (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Herren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Urban (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Bailey (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Raven (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Law Wen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Menion Croll (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
20%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Juliano (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Domonkos Kiss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CODY READY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henson (Unknown)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Karan Gill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.