Fang, Dracai of Blades at Pro Tour: London
Fang, Dracai of Blades
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 6-3-0
0%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
8.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Nakata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bloodworth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Kitsos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 14: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
20:80
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
0% (0/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
8.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
116th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sam Martinez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
88th • 5-4-0
11%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 13: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
143rd • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ilmari Lahtinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alex Becker (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 24:76
Round 14: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 15: Loss vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Herren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stew Fraser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Martinez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Raven (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Melissakis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.