Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Pro Tour: London
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jascha Werth (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
95th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Coppley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
105th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Richards (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
125th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Domonkos Kiss (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Durán (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Justin Kinison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 14: Win vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nova Chan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Rodger (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kiran Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Dale Sayson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyson Au (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip Connolley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shoma yamamura (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Cassidy (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Melissakis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Rodger (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Webb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Steele (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matheus Pereira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Nakata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Dale Sayson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Allan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.