Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Julia De Biasi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.