Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.