Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 14: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Paul White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Bridges (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Horne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kuba tambor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michaël Emery (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.