Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Pro Tour: London

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Nijssen

37th • 5-4-0

22%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lucas Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.32
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.81
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.47
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.23
R15	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Tom Tucek

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paul White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.57
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.44

Bruno Cracco

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Bridges (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emily Froese (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Horne (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.86
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Christian Dale Sayson

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mike Morelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.94
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Logan Petersen

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kuba tambor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.88
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10

Aaron Murphy

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michaël Emery (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Cristopher Allen

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.12
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Markus Jonsson

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.